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The Woodyard Monitor Report Column descriptions

Last Revised Sunday December 26, 2011
 

 


Date The date.
Sell When moving from a BOTTOM to a TOP a value at 10 or below indicates a Sell. A value at or above 80 indicates a risk that the Market may be bottoming.
Neutral The value of the indicator for the Neutral range.
Buy When moving from a TOP to a BOTTOM a value at 10 or below indicates a Buy. A value at or above 80 indicates a risk that the Market may be topping.
DJIA The closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average for the date listed.
Top Signal - The first day that the Sell column indicates that the next Top is approaching. A target value for the DJIA will be displayed.
Actual - The new TOP for the DJIA.
Difference - The difference in the DJIA from the TOP to the day of the signal.
Days - The number of days from the signal day to the day of the TOP.
Bottom Signal - The first day that the Buy column indicates that the next Bottom is approaching. A target value for the DJIA will be displayed.
Actual - The new BOTTOM for the DJIA.
Difference - The difference in the DJIA from the BOTTOM to the day of the signal.
Days - The number of days from the signal day to the day of the BOTTOM.
Start Date/Averages The date is the date of the first data used for the calculations. The other columns with data are the averages for their respective columns.
Modified Averages These calculations eliminate the highest and lowest values for the column and average the remaining values.
New BOTTOM/TOP This provides the value needed for the DJIA to the set a new BOTTOM/TOP.
Distribution
Difference %
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%+
TOP (18.60) 25.0
3
8.3 1.6
1
25.0
3
0
0
8.3
1
8.3
1
8.3
1
0
0
8.3
1
0
0
8.3
1
BOTTOM (10.70) 18.2
2
0
0
36.4
4
18.2
2
0
0
18.2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9.1
1
Distribution Difference % TOP - This shows the accuracy of the signal days relative to the ultimate top value in the DJIA. The number in parenthesis is the greatest percentage difference from the DJIA on the signal day to the actual top.

In the example above, the 0% column reflected 25.0% and 3. This means that the actual top was within 1% of the value of the DJIA at the close of the signal day on 3 different occassions.

The 1% column shows 8.3% and 1. The 8.3% was in BOLD to indicate the percent difference for the current day's value. This means that the actual top was between 1% and less than 2% of the value of the DJIA at the close of the signal day on 1 occassion. The 1% column also had a number after the 8.3% which was 1.6. This number reflects the current difference between the of the value of the DJIA at the close of the signal day and the current day.

The 2% column showed 25% and 3. Adding the percents in the first three columns (0%, 1%, 2%) means that 58.3% of the time the DJIA topped within 3% of the value of the DJIA at the close of the signal day.

BOTTOM - The distribution for the bottom is similar as the top. Adding the percents in the first four columns (0%, 1%, 2%, 3%) means that 72.8% of the time the DJIA bottomed within 4% of the value of the DJIA at the close of the signal day.

Distribution
Days
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100+
TOP (116) 41.7
5
25.0 14
3
16.7
2
0
0
8.3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8.3
1
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10+
BOTTOM (11) 0
0
27.3
3
0
0
18.2
2
0
0
9.1
1
9.1
1
9.1
1
0
0
9.1
1
18.2
2
Distribution Days TOP - This shows the accuracy of the signal days relative to the day the DJIA peaks. The number in parenthesis is the greatest difference in the number of days from the signal day to the day of the actual top.

In the above example, the 0 column shows 41.7 and 5. This means that the actual top was reached within 9 days from the signal day on 5 different occassions.

The 10 column shows 25.0 and 3. This means that the actual top was reached between 10 and 19 days from the signal day on 3 occassions. The 25.0 is in BOLD to indicate the current number of days is between 10 and 19. The 10 column shows the current number of days from the signal day, which is 14.

The 20 column shows 16.7 and 2. Adding the count of days in the first three columns (0, 10, 20) means that 83.4% of the time the DJIA topped within 29 days from the signal day.

BOTTOM - The distribution for the bottom is similar as the top. Adding the percents in the first four columns (0, 10, 20) means that 27.3% of the time the DJIA bottomed within 29 days from the signal day.

Trend Analysis Date Row - The date for each TOP.
TOP - checks for the following trends: resistance, Higher Highs, Lower Highs. Following this are the six most recent TOPs.
BOTTOM - checks for the following trends: support, Higher Lows, Lower Lows. Following this are the six most recent BOTTOMs.
Date Row - The date for each BOTTOM.
Number Of Days From BOTTOM To TOP - Gives the number of days from the previous BOTTOM to the TOP listed two lines above.
Number Of Days From TOP To BOTTOM - Gives the number of days from the previous TOP to the BOTTOM listed two lines above.

The first column will have either the TOP or BOTTOM value in BOLD. This indicates the oldest of the two. In other words, if the TOP value is BOLD the the BOTTOM occurred at a later date.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION The signal day for the current move in progress has a target for the DJIA. This number reflects the closing DJIA plus/minus the average for the direction the DJIA is moving. As a result, this number provides a starting place for you to use in deciding what to do next.

Use Of The Information In This Report Is Expressly Subject To
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